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Originally Posted by haroldo
- This calculation (flawed as it is) will start eating into the value of a seven year old TCH as you use the same logic.
- How much would you pay for a car (gas) that will be worth $4000 in four years? Maybe $8000.
- How much would you pay for a 7 year old hybrid that you were pretty much assured would be worthless in four years. I'd say no more than $3000.
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The flaw in this is that you could pay $3000 for that hybrid, put in a new $5000 battery, and it would cost the same as the gas version, yet have all the benefits of a hybrid
with a new battery.
The differential is only considering the value of the battery. However the gas version is more likely to have transmission problems (recent Camrys seem to have significant transmission problems) and the repair record for the hybrids so far is much better. Also I think your $5000 estimate for the battery is too high considering the old batteries have high scrap value and also businesses will probably sprout up to rebuild the battery packs.
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If anyone thinks my logic is flawed, I'd like to offer them my six month old Toshiba HD DVD player for sale.
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This is a non sequitur. THe HD DVD player is obsolete, the car wouldn't be (unless everything changes to Diesel fuel).