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Originally Posted by lars-ss
It's not the oil companies who control gas prices.
It's the state of the international oil market.
US Politicians have very little control over the ebbs and flows of that market.
OPEC is going to cut production to keep crude above $60 a barrel, so the lowest the US gas average will hit cannot be much lower than $2.25 at that oil price.
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In the big picture of historical inflation, I think $2.25 a gallon is a fair price. It makes sense, oil producers and refiners should be able to make decent money, and its a sensible price for demand.
I remember not even 10 years ago, gas was right at about a $1. There was a "spike" to like $1.25 and people started asking questions. I recall the chairman or Chevron on a local NPR program pointing out that there were not a lot of liquids you could buy for $1 a gallon... not that it's apples to apples, but what liquid product could you buy in a grocery store for $1 gallon then? And at the time, Chevron was not awash in profits.
Anyone of us can buy stock in Exxon-Mobil, Chevron, etc. Shareholders own the companies and we all have the opportunity to buy a piece and share in the profit.
But the oil business has been cyclical now for decades. Nobody will give a rip if oil compnaies start losing money in two or three years - it will be "serves them right for making some much mocney in 2006." But hey, nobody has ever given a rip about oil companies losing money in the past either.
I often wonder if this could be the last hoorah for big oil. They may never see a cycle like this again. Think about what is happening. Even the stinkin Escalade will have a hybrid power plant available with a 25% increase in mileage. Car companies start doing this and SUV could start meeting CAFE standards that are not even applicable to them. What if fleet fuel effciency started going up without the governement mandating it? What if the majority of new cars over the next two or three years got just 5 mpg more than they do today?
My Prius "penciled out" in cost effectiveness. I am looking into solar electricity on my house because it's not a money loser. It will cost me a few extra bucks at first, but not a lot extra if I amortize it out five to eight years. After that, I could have $0 electric cost. Granted, a taxpayer subsidy is still required for the payback to take less than 10 years. And there is always that risk that more green electricy sources are online and rates could drop, making the payback diminish on paper. But look at some of the people complaining about how dropping gas prices wil impact the savings they get with their hybrid cars. Crazy talk if you ask me.