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03-21-2006, 10:30 AM
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Pretty Darn Active Enthusiast
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Posts: 340
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Re: CNN Hybrid worries/answers article
I believe that mpg and fuel cost savings are a bit confusing because they involve a *hyperbolic function*. But we are stuck with mpg by tradition; perhaps the attached chart will help simplify things. It assumes 12,000 miles driven per year, and gasoline costs $2.50/gallon. One implication from the hyperbola is that the dollar savings when increasing from 20 to 30 mpg is equal to that from 30 to 60 mpg.
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03-21-2006, 02:03 PM
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Active Enthusiast
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Real Name: alan
Location: Raleigh, NC
Hybrids: '04 prius
Posts: 223
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Re: CNN Hybrid worries/answers article
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Tochatihu
I believe that mpg and fuel cost savings are a bit confusing because they involve a *hyperbolic function*. But we are stuck with mpg by tradition; perhaps the attached chart will help simplify things. It assumes 12,000 miles driven per year, and gasoline costs $2.50/gallon. One implication from the hyperbola is that the dollar savings when increasing from 20 to 30 mpg is equal to that from 30 to 60 mpg.
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first, i'd go with "quadratic" rather than "hyperbolic."
second, by taking your graph and changing both the vertical and horizontal scales to logarithmic, the graph turns into... (drum roll, please...)
a straight line. much easier to extrapolate and interpolate, bytheway.
whenever you're faced with a curved line on a graph, it's not graphed on the correct axes. change one or both to log scale until the line is straight. you can't interpolate or extrapolate a curved line on a piece of paper or on a terminal screen. 
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03-21-2006, 05:45 PM
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Pretty Darn Active Enthusiast
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Posts: 340
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Re: CNN Hybrid worries/answers article
I respectfully disagree, plusaf. This curve is a section of a rectangular hyperbola of the function X*Y = 30,000. Just in the positive quadrant of the Cartesian plane, of course. 30,000 being the product of 12,000 miles per year and $2.50/gallon. I agree that a logarithmic transformation of both axes would linearize this function, but it will not make our lives any easier.
If one accepts the conditions of 12,000 miles per year and $2.50/gallon, then the section drawn ought to serve the needs of most. On this curve, annual $ fuel costs (Y) will be 30,000 divided by miles per gallon (X).
Or, to change the conditions, just make a new hyperbola. For example, if 15,000 miles/yr and $2.75/gallon, X*Y = 41,250. Y = 41,500/X.
Quadratics and trigonometry would be required for a full treatment of hyperbolic functions, but thankfully this is the simplest example, and we can set all that aside here. I honestly intended this to be a simple fuel-cost calculator, and hope that despite my response here, it still can be used as one.
DAS
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03-21-2006, 08:02 PM
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Hybrid True Believer
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Real Name: Chris Todd
Location: Baltimore, MD
Hybrids: Honda Civic 2003
Posts: 881
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Re: CNN Hybrid worries/answers article
I would imagine that the resale value of a hybrid would primarily rely on two factors: Availability of NEW hybrids; Price of gasoline.
-- If new hybrids are plentiful and gas is at a" low" point, a used hybrid would probably depreciate at the same rate (or maybe a little faster) than a regular car.
-- If new hybrids are plentiful and gas is at a "high" point, a used hybrid might depreciate a little more slowly than a regular car.
-- If new hybrids are in short supply and gas is at a "high" point, then a cosmetically perfect used hybrid probably could command a near-new price (because new hybrids will be selling at above-new prices).
At least that's what I think...
Hope is like a candle held against the night. -------------------------------------------------------------- --> My Forums / Blogs / Logs / Webs <-- -------------------------------------------------------------- "Compassionate Conservatism": An American Oxymoron -------------------------------------------------------------- Confirmed Hypomiler. Road Rage and Jackrabbit Starts Forever!
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03-22-2006, 03:10 AM
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Go Army!
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Real Name: David Harville
Location: Ellicott City, MD
Hybrids: 2005 Prius
Posts: 178
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Re: CNN Hybrid worries/answers article
This thread is getting mathematically astray, but at least I didn't start it down that path. I did think about posting something like plusaf's first post in this thread though.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by plusaf
whenever you're faced with a curved line on a graph, it's not graphed on the correct axes.
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What?
Quote:
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change one or both to log scale until the line is straight
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And then try to explain to others what the graph really means. People are barely comfortable with graphs and you expect them to interpret things on a logarithmic scale? It's especially hard if you only change one axis.
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03-22-2006, 05:09 PM
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Ridiculously Active Enthusiast
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Real Name: Leah
Location: Chicago area
Hybrids: Honda Civic Hybrid 2005
Posts: 955
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Re: CNN Hybrid worries/answers article
All plusaf is saying about picking the 'correct axes' to graph something on is that most things people want to graph can be expressed as a direct relationship between two or more variables. Sometimes the variable is log y or y^2 or sin 2y, -here it is 1/y, as the OP stated- so for us techies it's often easier to worry about calculating everything in terms of 1/y, but for the non-techies who can figure out that y is the variable and that's about it, having axes that are non-linear can be really messy. This is especially true because it's one way that people lie with statistics- if you use a log scale or set the origin at 60% on one axis rather than 0 (to over-emphasize small differences), it is much easier to make people misunderstand and misinterpret data that is otherwise correct. So that's the danger in changing the axes- it can be useful to people who follow what you're doing, or it can be misleading to people who cannot.
I think that Tochatihu's graph was just fine as is, and that many laypeople could understand it, which is probably the most important thing. Yay for data!
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