View Poll Results: Do you agree with Chrysler's opinion about hybrids?
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Cutting fuel costs and reducing maintenance were the driving forces behind the decisi
#11
04-22-2005, 05:18 PM
Re: Cutting fuel costs and reducing maintenance were the driving forces behind the decisi
ohhh ... I think I can convince you that hybrid acceptance may follow an exponential growth rate; if all you require is a power function that is quite a bit less in total than what you yourself anticipate ..
How about 1% more hybrids every year than the year before, for the next 10 years ? This would mean that the current 100,000 Prius sold, e.g., jump to 114,462 Prius sold in year 10. As an exponent, for your amusement: f(x) = 1.01^x
As I explained above, logs are not necessarily asymptotic, and power functions can be. But I was not prophesizing 2^x growth; I only pointed out that if it happens like the GM exec was considering, he will be unemployed well before his retirement.
How about 1% more hybrids every year than the year before, for the next 10 years ? This would mean that the current 100,000 Prius sold, e.g., jump to 114,462 Prius sold in year 10. As an exponent, for your amusement: f(x) = 1.01^x
As I explained above, logs are not necessarily asymptotic, and power functions can be. But I was not prophesizing 2^x growth; I only pointed out that if it happens like the GM exec was considering, he will be unemployed well before his retirement.
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